Publications des institutions partenaires
Balanced bootstrap joint confidence bands for structural impulse response functions
Constructing joint confidence bands for structural impulse response functions based on a VAR model is a difficult task because of the non-linear nature of such functions. We propose new joint confidence bands that cover the entire true structural impulse response function up to a chosen maximum horizon with a prespecified probability (1 − α), at least asymptotically. Such bands are…
Institution partenaire
English / 01/01/2018
An inconvenient truth? Interpersonal and career consequences of “maybe baby” expectations
Institution partenaire
English / 01/01/2018
Guilty speculators? Range-based conditional volatility in a cross-section of wheat futures
In response to the unusually high levels of price volatility during the world food price crisis of 2007/2008, US and EU regulators have introduced position limits that aim to protect commodity markets from exposure to excess speculation. Such regulatory initiatives presuppose that excess speculation is indeed responsible for excess volatility. Our results debunk this presupposition…
Institution partenaire
English / 01/01/2018
Money vs. time: family income, maternal labor supply, and child development
We study the effect of family income and maternal hours worked on child development. Our instrumental variable analysis suggests different results for cognitive and behavioral development. An additional 1,000 USD in family income improves cognitive development by 4.4 percent of a standard deviation but has no effect on behavioral development. A yearly increase of 100 work hours…
Institution partenaire
English / 01/01/2018
Does altruism matter for remittances?
We provide a direct test of the impact of altruism on remittances. From a sample of Indian migrant workers in Qatar, we elicit the propensity to share with others from their responses in a dictator game and use it as a proxy for altruism. For the entire sample, we find that altruism does not seem to matter. However, we document a strong positive relationship between altruism and…
Institution partenaire
English / 01/01/2018
Redefine statistical significance
We propose to change the default P-value threshold for statistical significance from 0.05 to 0.005 for claims of new discoveries.
Institution partenaire
English / 01/01/2018
Demand forces of technical change evidence from the Chinese manufacturing industry
This paper investigates the effct of domestic market size on innovation activities across different durable good industries in the Chinese manufacturing sector. We address the endogeneity of market size by an IV strategy, based on a measure of potential market size, which is driven only by changes in the Chinese income distribution. This measure is exogenous to changes in prices and…
Institution partenaire
English / 01/01/2018
Unemployment insurance and the labor market
The existing literature assumes that unemployment insurance (UI) affects the labor market through the job finding rate of eligible workers. I argue that this focus is too narrow. I show evidence for UI effects through three other margins: (i) search externalities; (ii) takeup of other welfare state programs; and (iii) job separations. This suggests that the analysis of optimal UI…
Institution partenaire
English / 01/01/2018
Intergenerational mobility in the 19th century: micro-level evidence from the city of Zurich
We analyze social mobility of decennial citizenry cohorts of Zurich born between 1780 and 1870. We categorize individuals according to their occupations and use different measures to show the level, change, and components of intergenerational mobility. Mobility was imperfect and weakly decreasing over time. Both level and change are driven by intergenerational persistence of…
Institution partenaire
English / 01/01/2018
Ventrolateral prefrontal cortex updates chosen value according to choice set size
Having chosen an item typically increases the subjective value of the chosen item, and people generally enjoy making choices from larger choice sets. However, having too many items to choose from can reduce the value of chosen items—for example, because of conflict or choice difficulty. In this study, we investigated the effects of choice set size on behavioral and neural value…
Institution partenaire
English / 01/01/2018
Multigrading and child achievement
We exploit Italian law DPR 81/2009, which determines class composition, as an instrument to identify the causal effect of grouping students of different grades into a single class (multigrading) on children cognitive achievement. This article focuses on 7-year-old students—those at the beginning of their formal education. Results suggest that attendance in multigrade classes versus…
Institution partenaire
English / 01/01/2018
Rethinking large-scale economic modeling for efficiency: optimizations for GPU and Xeon Phi clusters
We propose a massively parallelized and optimized framework to solve high-dimensional dynamic stochastic economic models on modern GPU- and MIC-based clusters. First, we introduce a novel approach for adaptive sparse grid index compression alongside a surplus matrix reordering, which significantly reduces the global memory throughput of the compute kernels and maps randomly accessed…
Institution partenaire
English / 01/01/2018
Shareholder Risk Measures
The aim of this paper is to put forward a new family of risk measures that as the coherent/convex risk measures impose a preference order on random cash flows and can be interpreted as prices. But at the difference of the axiomatic approach of Artzner, Delbaen, Eber and Heath (1999) and the subsequent extensions of this model, our risk measures are associated with the optimal…
Institution partenaire
English / 01/01/2018
Business Ethics and Human Rights. The Industrial Involvement in the Embeddedness of the Tibetan Community in Rikon, Switzerland: A Case Study
This case study discusses the complex socio-cultural and political dynamics of the Tibetan Diaspora in Switzerland from a multilayer perspective of history, human rights, law, international business, social and developmental economics. We focus on the village Rikon in Tösstal, Canton Zurich as an example of social embeddedness for refugees driven by the Kuhn-Rikon industry and…
Institution partenaire
English / 01/01/2018
Long-range growth: economic development in the global network of air links
We study the impact of international long-distance flights on the global spatial allocation of economic activity. To identify causal effects, we exploit variation due to regulatory and technological constraints which give rise to a discontinuity in connectedness between cities at a distance of 6,000 miles. We show that improving an airport’s position in the network of air links has a…
Institution partenaire
English / 20/12/2017
Sell in May and Go Away: The Evidence in the International Equity Index Futures Markets
Institution partenaire
English / 13/12/2017
In search of new product ideas: Identifying ideas in online communities by machine learning and text mining
Online communities are attractive sources of ideas relevant for new product development and innovation. However, making sense of the ‘big data’ in these communities is a complex analytical task. A systematic way of dealing with these data is needed to exploit their potential for boosting companies' innovation performance. We propose a method for analysing online community data…
Institution partenaire
English / 09/12/2017
Predictors of parental leave support: Bad news for (big) dads and a policy for equality
Parenthood increases gender inequality in paid (employment) and unpaid labor (e.g., caretaking). New parental leave plans aim to increase gender equality by reducing managerial discretion and offering gender-neutral benefits. However, coworkers may undermine these inclusive aims, particularly if they show variable support per employee characteristics. Thus, we examine why and how…
Institution partenaire
English / 08/12/2017
Auctioning risk: The all-pay auction under mean-variance preferences
We analyse the all-pay auction with incomplete information and variance-averse bidders. We characterise the unique symmetric equilibrium for general distributions of valuations and any number of bidders. Variance aversion is a sufficient assumption to predict that high-valuation bidders increase their bids relative to the risk-neutral case while low types decrease their bid.…
Institution partenaire
English / 01/12/2017
Laboratory measure of cheating predicts school misconduct
Laboratory experiments provide insights into the drivers of cheating behaviour, but it is unclear to what extent cheating in the lab generalizes to the field. We conducted an experiment with middle and high school students to test whether a common laboratory measure of cheating predicts three types of school misconduct: (i) disruptiveness in class, (ii) homework non-completion, and (…
Institution partenaire
English / 01/12/2017
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