Publications des institutions partenaires
Monetary policy and crude oil: the impacts of the financial system on economic stability and environment
Institution partenaire
English / 25/08/2016
Making the next billion demand access: the local content effect of google.co.za in Setswana
Recent attempts to connect the current ‘next billion’ to the Internet in places such as sub-Saharan Africa have not met expectations. In places where Internet infrastructure has come online and prices have gone down, the expected consequent increase in uptake was not observed. I develop a framework that incorporates language in the the two-sided markets framework, viewing differences…
Institution partenaire
Institut de hautes études internationales et du développement
English / 24/08/2016
Firm response to competitive shocks: evidence from Chinas minimum wage policy
The large regional variation of minimum wage changes in 2002—08 implies that Chinese manufacturing firms experienced competitive shocks as a function of firm location and their low-wage employment share. We find that minimum wage hikes accelerate the input substitution from labor to capital in low-wage firms, reduce employment growth, but also accelerate total factor productivity…
Institution partenaire
Institut de hautes études internationales et du développement
/ 24/08/2016
Saving China's stock market
What were the economic benefits and costs of preventing a stock market meltdown during the summer of 2015 by the Chinese government intervention? We answer this question by estimating the value creation for the stocks purchased by the government between the period starting with the market crash in mid-June and the market recovery in September. We find that the government intervention…
Institution partenaire
Institut de hautes études internationales et du développement
/ 24/08/2016
The IMF’s role in Greece in the context of the 2010 stand-by arrangement
In April 2010, Greece became the first euro area country to request financial support from the IMF. The IMF joined the European Commission (EC) and the European Central Bank (ECB)—thus constituting what informally came to be known as the troika—in providing emergency financing, with the Fund’s contribution taking the form of a €30 billion three-year Stand-By Arrangement (SBA)…
Institution partenaire
Institut de hautes études internationales et du développement
/ 23/08/2016
Brexit Beckons: thinking ahead by leading economists
Institution partenaire
Institut de hautes études internationales et du développement
/ 23/08/2016
Does ethnic diversity decrease economic interactions? Evidence from exchange networks in rural Gambia
Using a unique dataset collected in 59 rural Gambian villages, we study how ethnic heterogeneity is related to the structure of four economic exchange networks: land, labor, inputs and credit. We find that different measures of village-level ethnic fragmentation are mostly uncorrelated with network structure. At a more disaggregated level, household heads belonging to ethnic…
Institution partenaire
Institut de hautes études internationales et du développement
/ 23/08/2016
Dynamic mean preserving spreads
We extend the celebrated Rothschild and Stiglitz (1970) definition of Mean Preserving Spreads to scalar diffusion processes. We provide sufficient conditions under which a family of diffusion processes satisfies the dynamic counterparts to the famous Rothschild and Stiglitz integral conditions. We prove that the only Brownian bridge with non-constant drift that displays the Dynamic…
Institution partenaire
Institut de hautes études internationales et du développement
/ 23/08/2016
Direct and indirect effects based on difference-in-differences with an application to political preferences following the Vietnam draft lottery
This study empirically evaluates the impact of the war in eastern Ukraine on the political attitudes aThis paper proposes a difference-in-differences approach for disentangling a total treatment effect on some outcome into a direct impact as well as an indirect effect operating through a binary intermediate variable – or mediator – within strata defined upon how the mediator reacts…
Institution partenaire
English / 04/08/2016
Turning a blind eye, but not the other cheek: On the robustness of costly punishment
The willingness to punish norm violation is an important component of many legal and social institutions, and much prior research demonstrates an apparent willingness to incur costs to punish individuals who act unfairly. But, will people rely on “excuses” to get out of having to act on costly punishment intentions, as they do with other costly pro-social acts? And how may the answer…
Institution partenaire
English / 01/08/2016
Informational requirements of nudging
A nudge is a paternalistic government intervention that attempts to improve choices by changing the framing of a decision problem. We propose a welfare- theoretic foundation for nudging similar in spirit to the classical revealed preference approach, by investigating a model where preferences and mistakes of an agent can be elicited from her choices under different frames. We provide…
Institution partenaire
English / 01/08/2016
Preaching water but drinking wine? Relative performance evaluation in international banking
Relative performance evaluation (RPE) is, at least on paper, enjoying widespread popularity in determining the level of executive compensation. Yet existing empirical evidence of RPE is decidedly mixed. Two principal explanations are held responsible for this discord. A constructional challenge arises from intricacies of identifying the correct peers. And on a simpler note, corporate…
Institution partenaire
English / 01/08/2016
Targeted information and limited attention
We study targeted information in a duopoly model with differentiated products, allowing for consumers with limited attention. The presence of inattentive consumers incentivizes firms to behave as if they were mass-advertisers, despite their ability to direct their mes- sages precisely towards consumers with the strongest preferences. We show that the scope for targeting as an…
Institution partenaire
English / 01/08/2016
Cooperation and mistrust in relational contracts
Work and trade relationships are often governed by relational contracts, in which incentives for cooperative action today stem from the prospective future benefits of the relationship. In this paper, we study how reductions in clarity about the financial consequences of actions, induced by incomplete information about the costs of providing quality, affect relational contracts in…
Institution partenaire
English / 01/08/2016
Mental capabilities, trading styles, and asset market bubbles: theory and experiment
We propose that heterogeneous asset trading behavior is the result of two distinct, non-convertible mental dimensions: analytical (“quantitative”) capability and mentalizing (“perspective-taking”) capability. We develop a framework of mental capabilities that yields testable predictions about individual trading behavior, revenue distribution and aggregate outcomes. The two-…
Institution partenaire
English / 01/08/2016
Banks and Sovereigns: A Model of Mutual Contagion
The recent crisis has revealed that bank and sovereign risks are inherently intertwined. This paper develops a model of the bank-sovereign nexus to identify the main spillovers and to study the implications of guarantees and capital regulation. We show how banks’ asset risk may trigger a sovereign default through taxation and deposit insurance. The latter can be contagious because of…
Institution partenaire
English / 01/08/2016
Unsere Welt kollabiert nicht, ganz im Gegenteil
Höchste Zeit für ein paar Zahlen und Fakten gegen die pessimistische Verklärung unserer Gegenwart
Institution partenaire
Deutsch / 01/08/2016
Unsecured and Secured Funding
We provide the first joint analysis of the secured and unsecured money markets of the euro area using bank-level data. After the Lehman crisis, two important substitution mechanisms emerge: banks with higher credit risk offset reductions of unsecured borrowing with secured funding. Riskier banks replace unsecured lending by granting more secured loans. However, high leverage and…
Institution partenaire
English / 01/08/2016
Capital taxation under political constraints
This paper studies optimal dynamic tax policy under the threat of political reform. A policy will be reformed ex post if a large enough coalition of citizens supports reform; thus, sustainable policies are those that will continue to attract enough political support in the future. We find that optimal marginal capital taxes are either progressive or U-shaped, so that savings are…
Institution partenaire
English / 01/08/2016
FDI Recovers? The 20th GTA Report
As global trade continues to stagnate, the spotlight has shifted during China’s G20 Presidency to foreign direct investment (FDI).Two recent developments have brought FDI to the forefront of international policy deliberations. First, at their annual meeting in July 2016, G20 trade ministers endorsed nine G20 Guiding Principles for Global Investment Policymaking. Second, in June 2016…
Institution partenaire
English / 01/08/2016
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