Publications des institutions partenaires

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Schweizer KMU. Eine Analyse der aktuellsten Zahlen – Ausgabe 2017

Nicht grosse Unternehmen ab 250 Mitarbeitenden dominieren die Schweizer Unternehmenslandschaft, sondern sogenannte Klein- und Mittelunternehmen (KMU): 99.8% der Unternehmen in der Schweiz gelten gemäss den neusten provisorischen Zahlen des Bundesamtes für Statistik als KMU. Dabei sind die Kleinst- oder Mikrounternehmen mit weniger als zehn Mitarbeitenden mit 92.4% der Unternehmen die…

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Deutsch / 12/04/2017

Christian Grisse, Signe Krogstrup and Silvio Schumacher: Lower bound beliefs and long-term interest rates

We study the transmission of changes in the believed location of the lower bound to longterm interest rates since the introduction of negative interest rate policies. The expectations hypothesis of the term structure combined with a lower bound on policy rates suggests that the transmission of policy rate changes to long-term interest rates is reduced when policy rates approach this…

Institution partenaire

Banque nationale suisse

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English / 05/04/2017

Robert Müller: The new SNB exchange rate index

The Swiss National Bank (SNB) is putting its calculated and published exchange rate indices on a new footing. This article describes the construction elements of the SNB's new exchange rate index, and presents the results of the new index calculation. The key aspects of the revision are: the application of the weighting method used by the IMF, which takes into account so-called third…

Institution partenaire

Banque nationale suisse

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English / 03/04/2017

Robert Müller: The new SNB exchange rate index

The Swiss National Bank (SNB) is putting its calculated and published exchange rate indices on a new footing. This article describes the construction elements of the SNB's new exchange rate index, and presents the results of the new index calculation. The key aspects of the revision are: the application of the weighting method used by the IMF, which takes into account so-called third…

Institution partenaire

Banque nationale suisse

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English / 03/04/2017

A "fractal" solution to the chopstick auction

This paper constructs a novel equilibrium in the chopstick auction of Szentes and Rosenthal (Games and Economic Behavior, 2003a, 2003b). In contrast to the existing solution, the identified equilibrium strategy allows a simple and intuitive characterization. Moreover, its best-response set has the same Hausdorff dimension as its support, which may be seen as a robustness property.…

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English / 01/04/2017

Large dynamic covariance matrices

Second moments of asset returns are important for risk management and portfolio selection. The problem of estimating second moments can be approached from two angles: time series and the cross-section. In time series, the key is to account for conditional heteroskedasticity; a favored model is Dynamic Conditional Correlation (DCC), derived from the ARCH/GARCH family started by Engle…

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English / 01/04/2017

On the convergence of logit-response to (strict) Nash equilibria

We show that the logit-response dynamics converges to a subset of (strict) Nash equilibria for any weakly acyclic, N-player normal form game. The result holds independently of whether revision opportunities arise as in asynchronous learning or in other ways, as long as the dynamics is regular. Our analysis generalizes and organizes recent convergence results in the literature.…

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English / 01/04/2017

Best Land Use with Negative Externalities: Determining Land Values from Residential Rents

When land regulations are binding, then the land price per m2 is determined by the attractiveness of the location and the restrictiveness of the regulation. In the case of a maximum oor area ratio (FARmax) restriction, the best use land price can be directly expressed as a function of the FARmax and local amenities. We show theoretically and empirically how this approach can be used…

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English / 01/04/2017

Government distortion in independently owned media: evidence from U.S. Cold War news coverage of human rights

This study provides evidence of government distortion of news coverage among independently owned media outlets in a democratic regime. It uses data from 1946 to 2010 and documents that U.S. news coverage of human rights abuses committed by foreign governments was associated with membership on the United Nations Security Council and the degree of political alliance with the United…

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English / 01/04/2017

Altered reward anticipation: Potential explanation for weight gain in schizophrenia?

Obesity and weight gain are severe complications of mental illness, especially schizophrenia. They result from changes in lifestyle and nutrition, side effects of medication and other, less well-understood factors. Recent studies suggest that obesity and weight gain are linked to psychopathology. Specifically, severe psychopathology is associated with greater weight dysregulation,…

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English / 01/04/2017

"Mafia Inc.": when godfathers become entrepreneurs

We study the investment of criminal organizations in the legal economy. We focus on Italy, a country historically plagued by a conspicuous presence of mafia-type organizations. By using the exogenous credit contraction imposed by the 2007 financial crisis we highlight how the consequences for newly established enterprises have been less severe in areas with organized crime. Although…

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English / 01/04/2017

A Tale of Two Tails: On the Coexistence of Overweighting and Underweighting of Rare Extreme Events

Almost all important decisions in people’s lives entail risky consequences. Some of these decisions involve events that materialize with a low probability but lead to extreme consequences such as loss of total wealth or accidental death. When facing such rare extreme events, people display considerable risk aversion in some situations whereas in others the opposite is the case. For…

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/ 01/04/2017

Industrie ist mehr als nur Fabriken

Die Aufmerksamkeit, die vor allem amerikanische Politiker auf den Industriesektor richten, hat Gründe: Wenn Betriebe
dichtmachen, können Regionen sozial zerfallen. Einfache Lösungen gibt es nicht.

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Deutsch / 01/04/2017

A Tale of Two Tails: On the Coexistence of Overweighting and Underweighting of Rare Extreme Events

Almost all important decisions in people’s lives entail risky consequences. Some of these decisions involve events that materialize with a low probability but lead to extreme consequences such as loss of total wealth or accidental death. When facing such rare extreme events, people display considerable risk aversion in some situations whereas in others the opposite is the case. For…

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/ 01/04/2017

The neural circuitry of emotion-induced distortions of trust

Aversive emotions are likely to be a key source of irrational human decision-making but still little is known about the underlying neural circuitry. Here, we show that aversive emotions distort trust decisions and cause significant changes in the associated neural circuitry. They reduce trust and suppress trust-specific activity in left temporoparietal junction (TPJ). In addition,…

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English / 01/04/2017

Understanding peer effects: on the nature, estimation, and channels of peer effects

This paper estimates peer effects in a university context where students are randomly assigned to sections. While students benefit from better peers on average, low-achieving students are harmed by high-achieving peers. Analyzing students’ course evaluations suggests that peer effects are driven by improved group interaction rather than adjustments in teachers’ behavior or students’…

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English / 01/04/2017

Adaptive value normalization in the prefrontal cortex is reduced by memory load

Adaptation facilitates neural representation of a wide range of diverse inputs, including reward values. Adaptive value coding typically relies on contextual information either obtained from the environment or retrieved from and maintained in memory. However, it is unknown whether having to retrieve and maintain context information modulates the brain’s capacity for value adaptation…

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English / 01/04/2017

Sind Workaholics unzufriedener?

Einkommensungleichheiten führen zu einer ungleichen Verteilung der meisten auf dem Markt käuflichen Güter. Es ist allerdings unklar, wie sich das Einkommen auf den Konsum von sozialen Gütern wie Freundetreffen oder Vereinsaktivitäten auswirkt. Marktgüter und Sozialgüter unterscheiden sich konzeptuell, indem der Konsum Ersterer vor allem Geld, der Konsum Letzterer hingegen vor allem…

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Deutsch / 01/04/2017

Competition in agricultural markets: an experimental approach

This paper develops an experimental approach to measure competition among intermediaries in agricultural markets, based on the random allocation of subsidies to traders. We show that, in individual-level randomizations with competitive spillovers, treatment-control differences in prices can inform an intuitive test of the degree of differentiation among firms. In the context of the…

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English / 01/04/2017

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