Publications des institutions partenaires
Handing out guns at a knife fight: behavioral limitations of subgame-perfect implementation
The assumption that payoff-relevant information is observable but not verifiable is important for many core results in contract, organizational and institutional economics. However, subgame-perfect implementation (SPI) mechanisms - which are based on off-equilibrium arbitration clauses that impose fines for lying and the inappropriate use of arbitration - can be used to render payoff…
Institution partenaire
English / 01/08/2014
Growing (with capital controls) like China
This paper explores the effects of capital controls and policies regulating interest rates and the exchange rate in a model of economic transition applied to China. It builds on Song, Storesletten, and Zilibotti (2011) who construct a growth model consistent with salient features of the recent Chinese growth experience: high output growth, sustained returns on capital investment,…
Institution partenaire
English / 01/08/2014
Do female officers improve law enforcement quality? Effects on crime reporting and domestic violence escalation
We study the impact of the integration of women in US policing between the late 1970s and early 1990s on violent crime reporting and domestic violence escalation. Along these two key dimensions, we find that female officers improved police quality. Using crime victimization data, we find that as female representation increases among officers in an area, violent crimes against women…
Institution partenaire
English / 01/08/2014
Risky adjustments or adjustments to risks: Decomposing bank leverage
By use of cointegration analysis, this paper splits bank leverage into a short- and long-run dimension. Regarding the long run, if banks’ leverage ratios or related liability shares are stable over time, they form a cointegrating relationship. Thus, cointegration tests indicate whether banks’ liability ratios were stable or subject to structural breaks during the financial crisis in…
Institution partenaire
English / 01/08/2014
Risk adjustment in aging societies
Background: In Switzerland, age is the predominant driver of solidarity transfers in risk adjustment (RA). Concerns have been voiced regarding growing imbalances in cost sharing between young and old insured due to demographic changes (larger fraction of elderly >65 years and rise in average age). Particularly young adults aged 19–25 with limited incomes have to shoulder…
Institution partenaire
English / 01/08/2014
Ambivalente Massnahmen: Wohlfahrtsstaatliche Reformen und ihre Auswirkungen
Rechtliche Interventionen mit sozialpolitischer Zielsetzung im Binnenraum privater Lebensformen zeitigen neben den beabsichtigten auch ungewollte und unerwünschte Wirkungen. Dies lässt sich am Beispiel zweier jüngerer gleichstellungspolitisch motivierter Sozial- und Familienrechtsreformen zeigen, die bei näherem Hinschauen widersprüchliche Anreize senden. Diese sind unter anderem…
Institution partenaire
Deutsch / 01/08/2014
Les réformes de l'Etat-providence et leurs conséquences ambivalentes
Les réformes de société peuvent parfois produire des effets indésirables. Il est possible d'illustrer ce constat en examinant deux réformes récentes dans le domaine de la politique sociale et familiale. Motivées par un souci de promouvoir l'égalité entre les sexes, ces réformes ont créé des incitations contradictoires. L'explication réside notamment dans la coexistence…
Institution partenaire
Français / 01/08/2014
Can system dynamics learn from social network analysis?
This article deals with the analysis of large or complex system dynamics (SD) models, exploring the benefits of a multimethodological approach to model analysis. We compare model analysis results from SD and social network analysis (SNA) by deploying SNA techniques on a pertinent example from the SD literature—the world dynamics model. Although SNA is a clearly distinct method from…
Institution partenaire
English / 24/07/2014
Do Polls Create Momentum in Political Competition?
We explore how public opinion polls affect candidates' campaign spending in political competition. Generally, polls lead to (more) asymmetric behavior. Under a majority rule there always exists an equilibrium in which the initially more popular candidate invests more in the campaign and thereby increases her lead in expectation: polls create momentum. When campaigning is very…
Institution partenaire
English / 22/07/2014
The development of human amygdala functional connectivity at rest from 4 to 23 years: a cross-sectional study
Functional connections (FC) between the amygdala and cortical and subcortical regions underlie a range of affective and cognitive processes. Despite the central role amygdala networks have in these functions, the normative developmental emergence of FC between the amygdala and the rest of the brain is still largely undefined. This study employed amygdala subregion maps and resting-…
Institution partenaire
English / 15/07/2014
Numeracy and the impact of high food prices in industrializing Britain, 1780–1850
Using census-based data on the ability to recall one's age, we show that low levels of nutrition impaired numeracy in industrializing England, 1780 to 1850: cognitive ability declined among those born during the Napoleonic wars. The effect was stronger in areas where grain was expensive and relief for the poor, an early form of welfare support was limited. Nutritional shortages…
Institution partenaire
English / 15/07/2014
A spot-forward model for electricity prices
We propose a novel regime-switching approach for modeling electricity spot prices that takes into account the relation between spot and forward prices. Additionally the model is able to reproduce spikes and negative prices. Market prices are based on an observed forward curve. We distinguish between a base regime and an upper as well as a lower spike regime. The model parameters are…
Institution partenaire
English / 15/07/2014
Causal pitfalls in the decomposition of wage gaps
The decomposition of gender or ethnic wage gaps into explained and unexplained components (often with the aim to assess labor market discrimination) has been a major research agenda in empirical labor economics. This paper demonstrates that conventional decompositions, no matter whether linear or non-parametric, are equivalent to assuming a (probably too) simplistic model of…
Institution partenaire
English / 10/07/2014
Tax competition with heterogeneous firms
This paper studies tax competition in an economic geography model that allows for agglomeration economies with trade costs and heterogeneous firms. We find that the Nash equilibrium involves the large country charging a higher tax than the small nation. Lower trade costs lead to an intensification of competition, a drop in Nash tax rates, and a narrowing of the gap. Since large,…
Institution partenaire
Institut de hautes études internationales et du développement
/ 02/07/2014
Taxes and international risk sharing
We examine the extent to which differences in international tax rates may account for the small correlations of per capita consumption fluctuations across countries. Theory implies a close relationship between relative consumption growth, and consumption and capital income tax rate differentials. We find strong empirical evidence for this relationship. Idiosyncratic output…
Institution partenaire
Institut de hautes études internationales et du développement
/ 01/07/2014
Maintaining efficiency while integrating entrants from lower-performing groups: an experimental study
Efficiently growing a group or firm often requires integration of individuals from lower-performing entities. We explore the effectiveness of two policies intended to facilitate such integration, using a laboratory experiment that models production as a coordination game with Pareto-ranked equilibria. We initially create an efficient group and an inefficient one. We then allow…
Institution partenaire
English / 01/07/2014
The consumption-income ratio, entrepreneurial risk and the US stock market: technical appendix
This appendix is for publication as supplementary web-material only. The main article will appear in the Journal of Money, Credit and Banking.
Institution partenaire
English / 01/07/2014
Do leaders affect ethical conduct?
We study whether leaders influence the unethical conduct of followers. To avoid selection issues present in natural environments, we use a laboratory experiment in which we form groups and assign leadership roles at random. We study an environment in which groups compete, with dishonest behavior enhancing group earnings to the detriment of social welfare. We vary, by treatment, two…
Institution partenaire
English / 01/07/2014
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