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Trade adjustment: worker level evidence

We analyze the effect of exposure to international trade on earnings and employment of U.S. workers from 1992 through 2007 by exploiting industry shocks to import competition stemming from China’s spectacular rise as a manufacturing exporter paired with longitudinal data on individual earnings by employer spanning close to two decades. Individuals who in 1991 worked in manufacturing…

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English / 18/12/2014

Granting Birthright Citizenship - A Door Opener to Educational Particiation and Success?

Does birthright citizenship boost immigrant children's participation
and success in the host country's educational system? We address this
question using a reform of the German naturalization law in 1999 that
entitled children born after January 1, 2000 to birthright citizenship.
We use a difference-in-difference design that compares children born…

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English / 11/12/2014

Guest workers in the underground economy

Guest-worker programs have been providing rapidly growing economies with millions of temporary foreign workers over the last couple of decades. With the duration of stay strictly limited by program rules in most of the host countries and wages paid to guest workers often set at sub-market levels, many of the migrants choose to overstay and seek employment in the underground economy.…

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/ 10/12/2014

Sequential decision making in merger control

We model merger control procedures as a process of sequential acquisition of information and compare US and EU procedures. In the US, the authorities do not have to justify their decision to require further information (issue a second request),whereas in the EU, the authorities face a different (enforceable) standard of proof in phase I relative to phase II. We found that in the…

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/ 10/12/2014

Business culture and dishonesty in the banking industry

Trust in others’ honesty is a key component of the long-term performance of firms, industries, and even whole countries1, 2, 3, 4. However, in recent years, numerous scandals involving fraud have undermined confidence in the financial industry5, 6, 7. Contemporary commentators have attributed these scandals to the financial sector’s business culture8, 9, 10, but no scientific…

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English / 04/12/2014

The euroization of bank deposits in Eastern Europe

In Central, Eastern and Southeastern Europe a substantial share of bank deposits
are denominated in foreign currency. Deposit euroization poses key challenges for
monetary policy and financial sector supervision. On the one hand, it limits the effectiveness of monetary policy interventions. On the other hand, it increases financial sector fragility by exposing banks to…

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English / 03/12/2014

Explaining gift exchange – The limits of good intentions

This paper explores the limitations of intention-based social preferences as an explanation of gift-exchange between a firm and a worker. In a framework with one self-interested and one reciprocal player, gift-giving never arises in equilibrium. Instead, any equilibrium in a large class of multistage games must involve mutually unkind behavior of both players. Besides gift-exchange,…

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English / 01/12/2014

Holes in the dike: the global savings glut, U.S. house prices and the long shadow of banking deregulation

We explore empirically how capital inflows into the US and financial deregulation within the United States interacted in driving the run-up (and subsequent decline) in US housing prices over the period 1990-2010. To obtain an ex ante measure of financial liberalization, we focus on the history of interstate-banking deregulation during the 1980s, i.e. prior to the large net capital…

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English / 01/12/2014

A new portfolio formation approach to mispricing of marketing performance indicators: an application to customer satisfaction

The mispricing of marketing performance indicators (e.g., brand equity, churn, and customer satisfaction) is an important element of arguments in favor of the financial value of marketing investments. Evidence for mispricing can be assessed by examining whether or not portfolios composed of firms that load highly on marketing performance indicators deliver excess returns.…

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English / 01/12/2014

Trade wars and trade talks with data

How large are optimal tariffs? What tariffs would prevail in a worldwide trade war? How costly would a breakdown of international trade policy cooperation be? And what is the scope for future multilateral trade negotiations? I address these and other questions using a unified framework which nests traditional, new trade, and political economy motives for protection. I find that…

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English / 01/12/2014

Mut zur Meinungsäusserung

Wie bringt man seine zahlreichen beruflichen Verpflichtungen ­unter einen Hut? Wie schafft man den Übergang zur Pensionierung? Diese und ­andere Fragen beantwortet Monika Bütler im Gespräch.

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Deutsch / 01/12/2014

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