Publications des institutions partenaires
A spot-forward model for electricity prices with regime shifts
We propose a novel regime-switching approach for the simulation of electricity spot prices that is inspired by the class of fundamental models and takes into account the relation between spot and forward prices. Additionally the model is able to reproduce spikes and negative prices. Market prices are derived given an observed forward curve. We distinguish between a base regime and an…
Institution partenaire
English / 20/02/2015
The Eurozone crisis: a near-perfect case of mismanagement
Institution partenaire
Institut de hautes études internationales et du développement
English / 18/02/2015
Anticipatory anxiety disrupts neural valuation during risky choice
Incidental negative emotions unrelated to the current task, such as background anxiety, can strongly influence decisions. This is most evident in psychiatric disorders associated with generalized emotional disturbances. However, the neural mechanisms by which incidental emotions may affect choices remain poorly understood. Here we study the effects of incidental anxiety on human…
Institution partenaire
English / 18/02/2015
Automatic versus choice-dependent value representations in the human brain
The subjective values of choice options can impact on behavior in two fundamentally different types of situations: first, when people explicitly base their actions on such values, and second, when values attract attention despite being irrelevant for current behavior. Here we show with functional magnetic resonance imaging (fMRI) that these two behavioral functions of values are…
Institution partenaire
English / 18/02/2015
Ratingagenturen behandelten Griechenland willkürlich : Interview mit Nicos Chilas
Institution partenaire
Deutsch / 16/02/2015
The impact of land mines on child health: evidence from Angola
Institution partenaire
Institut de hautes études internationales et du développement
Français, English / 05/02/2015
Social discounting involves modulation of neural value signals by temporoparietal junction
Most people are generous, but not toward everyone alike: generosity usually declines with social distance between individuals, a phenomenon called social discounting. Despite the pervasiveness of social discounting, social distance between actors has been surprisingly neglected in economic theory and neuroscientific research. We used functional magnetic resonance imaging (fMRI) to…
Institution partenaire
English / 03/02/2015
Evidence for countercyclical risk aversion: an experiment with financial professionals
A key ingredient of many popular asset pricing models is that investors exhibit countercyclical risk aversion, which helps explain major economic puzzles such as the strong and systematic variation in risk premiums over time and the high volatility of asset prices. There is, however, surprisingly little evidence for this assumption because it is difficult to control for the host of…
Institution partenaire
English / 01/02/2015
Reference points, social norms, and fairness in contract renegotiations
How does an ex-ante contract affect behavior in an ex-post renegotiation game? We address this question in a canonical buyer–seller relationship with renegotiation. Our paper provides causal experimental evidence that an initial contract has a highly significant and economically important
impact on renegotiation behavior that goes beyond the effect of contracts on bargaining…
Institution partenaire
English / 01/02/2015
On the origin of r-concavity and related concepts
In a less widely known contribution, Béla Martos (1966, Hungarian Academy of Sciences) introduced a generalized notion of concavity that is closely related to what is nowadays known as r-concavity in the operations research literature, and that is identical to what is nowadays known as ρ-concavity in the economics literature. The present paper aims at making the original…
Institution partenaire
English / 01/02/2015
Pragmatismus aus Prinzip
Wer glaubt, dass sich das Problem Griechenland nur mit Härte lösen lasse, riskiert, dass im Namen falsch verstandener ökonomischer Prinzipien grosser Schaden entsteht.
Institution partenaire
Deutsch / 01/02/2015
The Dynamic Impact of Unilateral Environmental Policies
This paper builds a two-country, two-sector (polluting, nonpolluting) trade model with directed technical change, examining whether unilateral environmental policies can ensure sustainable growth. The polluting good generates more or less emissions depending on its relative use of a clean and a dirty input. I show that a unilateral policy combining clean research subsidies and a…
Institution partenaire
English / 01/02/2015
Ghost-house busters: the electoral response to a large anti–tax evasion program
The incentives of political agents to enforce tax collection are key determinants of the levels of compliance. We study the electoral response to the Ghost Buildings program, a nationwide anti tax evasion policy in Italy that used innovative monitoring technologies to target buildings hidden from tax authorities. The program induced monetary and non-monetary benefits for non-evaders…
Institution partenaire
English / 01/02/2015
A quantitative analysis of subsidy competition in the U.S.
What motivates regional governments to subsidize firm relocations and what are the implications of the subsidy competition among them? In this paper, I address these questions using a quantitative economic geography model which I calibrate to U.S. states. I show that states have strong incentives to subsidize firm relocations in order to gain at the expense of other states. I also…
Institution partenaire
English / 01/02/2015
Do Long-term Unemployed Workers Benefit from Targeted Wage Subsidies?
We evaluate a wage subsidy program that is targeted at long-term unemployed
workers in Germany. We use an alternative identification procedure compared to
empirical studies conducted so far. Exploiting the particular program regulations and
large administrative data we estimate the impact of program availability using a regression discontinuity framework. Our…
Institution partenaire
English / 01/02/2015
Innovation and Trade in the Presence of Credit Constraints
This paper examines how trade liberalization affects investments in R&D at the firm level. In a model where entrepreneurs are heterogeneous in their wealth endowment, they rely differently on external funds. In the presence of capital market imperfections, this implies heterogeneous access to external funds such that poor entrepreneurs run smaller firms, are less likely to invest…
Institution partenaire
English / 01/02/2015
Reciprocity, incomplete information and relational contracts
Institution partenaire
English / 01/02/2015
Essays in behavioral economics : research at the intersection of psychology and economics
Institution partenaire
English / 01/02/2015
Neural and behavioral investigations of individual differences in social learning and decision making
Institution partenaire
English / 01/02/2015
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