Publications des institutions partenaires

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Institutions, mobilization and rebellion in post-colonial societies

We revisit the simultaneous equations model of rebellion, mobilization, grievances and repression proposed by Gurr and Moore (1997). Our main contribution is to clarify and improve on the underlying identification strategy and to emphasize the role played by the institutional environment. Instrumental variables estimates for post-colonial societies reveal that the strength of the…

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Français, English / 29/07/2015

WTO 2.0: governance of 21st century trade

The cross-border flows of goods, investment, services, know-how and people associated with international production networks–call it ‘supply-chain trade’ for short–has transformed the world. The WTO has not kept pace. This paper argues that adapting world trade governance to the realities of supply-chain trade will require a new organization–a WTO 2.0 as it were. Reasoning on the…

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Français, English / 24/07/2015

The impact of three Mexican nutritional programs: the case of Dif-Puebla

This paper presents an impact evaluation of three nutritional programs implemented in Puebla, Mexico, run by SEDIF, a social assistance institution. The present study uses both a propensity score matching and weighting in order to balance the treatment and the control groups in terms of observable characteristics, and to estimate, later on, the causal effect of the programs on…

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English / 23/07/2015

Masked development: exploring the hidden benefits of the Zapatista conflict

In 1994, the Zapatistas took up arms claiming for indigenous people rights in Chiapas, Mexico. After 12 days of civil war, the national government called for dialogue. Nevertheless, since then, it has deployed a "low intensity war" over the self-declared Zapatista Autonomous Communities. At the same time, the Zapatistas started to implement a new set of institutions, which have…

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English / 23/07/2015

What drives financial inclusion at the bottom of pyramid?: empirical evidence from microfinance panel data

Microfinance has played a key role in including the poor in financial markets. This paper uses microfinance data to approximate financial inclusion in the poorer segments of the population and proposes a quantile regression approach to study the development of microfinance markets. Our approach accounts for the dynamic and heterogeneous impacts that key drivers may have across…

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English / 23/07/2015

Doing well by doing good ?: empirical evidence from microfinance

This paper proposes novel identification techniques to examine the trade-offs that microfinance institutions face between increasing their profits and their social impact. It uses a quantile regression approach to examine how these trade-offs evolve as institutions become more commercialized. The identification strategy is based on an instrumental variable approach, and also…

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English / 23/07/2015

Supply-chain trade : a portrait of global patterns and several testable hypotheses

The trade linked to international production networks – supply-chain trade for short – is associated with momentous global economic changes. This paper presents a portrait of the global pattern of supply-chain trade and how it has evolved since 1995. The paper draws on a variety of data sources but most heavily on the recent World Input-Output Database. China’s supply-chain trade…

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/ 23/07/2015

Vom Elfenbeinturm in dIe Öffentlichkeit - und wieder zurück

Weshalb gelingt es der Ökonomie nicht, die eigenen Ansprüche an die Forschung und die Forderungen der Gesellschaft nach verständlichen Erkenntnissen in Einklang zu bringen? Wäre denn ein Abschied vom Elfenbeinturm angezeigt? Die Antwort sei hier bereits verraten: Nein. Aber: Universitäten und Nachfrager nach ökonomischem Wissen sollten Modelle finden, die den Wissenschaftlern…

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Deutsch / 23/07/2015

Qualifying “fit”: the performance dynamics of firms’ change tracks through organizational configurations

Organizational configurations, sets of firms with similarities in a number of essential characteristics, provide important insights into the synergies inherent to certain combinations of structural attributes and the performance effects of firms’ retention of, adaptation to, or decoupling from high-performing configurations. The fundamental assumption is that the better a firm’s “fit…

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English / 15/07/2015

Die Abschöpfung der Steuerkraft in Finanzausgleichssystemen

Die Grenzabschöpfungen im Finanzausgleich stellen implizite Minimalsteuersätze für Gemeinden oder Kantone dar. Steigende Durchschnittsabschöpfungen implizieren weit höhere Grenzabschöpfungen.

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Deutsch / 10/07/2015

"You can have the cake and eat it:" The role of sovereign ratings in the construction of sovereign bonds as liquid and safe collateral

The fact that collateral whose function is to secure repayment via its attributed low credit and liquidity risk is traded prominently in a "shadow" banking environment may still go unnoticed. This article analyzes the role of credit rating agency (CRA) ratings in the construction of collateral using the example of sovereign ratings as eligibility criterion for sovereign…

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English / 09/07/2015

Too much finance or statistical illusion: a comment

A recent policy brief from the Peterson Institute suggests that the “Too Much Finance” result may be an artifact of spurious attribution of causality. While more works needs do be done to understand the links between finance and growth and explore the drivers of possible non-monotonicities, this note shows that the too much finance result is robust.

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/ 08/07/2015

Empirical evidence for the bank lending channel in Bosnia and Herzegovina: does lending differ between large and small banks?

The paper investigates transmission of different foreign and domestic shocks to bank lending activity in Bosnia and Herzegovina through the bank lending channel. The bank lending channel is analyzed in a time series cross sectional data framework for the period 2006q1- 2014q1, investigating reactions of small vs. large banks to those shocks. First, the evidence has been found that…

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/ 08/07/2015

Assessing house price dynamics in Lima

This paper uses a two-step procedure to analyze the long-run dynamics between real house prices and their fundamentals in Lima, Peru. In this framework, first a hedonic price index is calculated, and then used for estimating a quarterly vector error correction model over the period 1998-2014. The price determinants considered in this application are: real mortgage interest rate, real…

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/ 08/07/2015

Financial soundness index for the private corporate sector in Colombia

This paper evaluates the importance of building a composite metric of financial soundness for the private corporate sector in Colombia. Instead of relying on the individual and sometimes restrictive financial ratio analysis approach, the purpose of this document is to provide a single metric aimed at measuring the financial health of firms. Said metric, the financial soundness index…

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/ 08/07/2015

Estimating the determinants of financial euroization in Albania

This paper examines the phenomenon of financial euroization in Albania, focusing on the liability side of the banking system. It explores some of the main theoretical and empirical determinants of deposit euroization in the context of the high euroization rates originating in the transition period of the early 1990s. Despite gradual improvements in the macroeconomic framework,…

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/ 08/07/2015

Macro-prudential policies, moral hazard and financial fragility

This paper presents a DSGE model with banks that face moral hazard in management. Banks receive demand deposits and fund investment projects. Banks are subject to potential withdrawals by depositors which may force them into early liquidation of their investments. The likelihood of this happening depends on the bank management efforts to keep the bank financially sound and the degree…

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/ 08/07/2015

This mine is mine!: how minerals fuel conflicts in Africa

We combine original geo-referenced data on mining extraction of 15 minerals with information on conflict events at spatial resolution of 0.5o x 0.5o for all Africa over 1997-2010. Exploiting exogenous variations in world prices, we find a positive impact of mining on conflict at the local level. Quantitatively, the historical rise in prices (commodity super-cycle) explains 15-25…

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/ 08/07/2015

Banking integration and fragmentation in the interest rate channel

At the forefront of the economic consolidation of the euro area, banking integration came to a stall following the beginning of the 2008 crisis. Since then European banks started retrenching their asset holdings within national borders, effectively reducing the scale of their European operations. This paper explores the link between banking integration and fragmentation in the…

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/ 07/07/2015

Quand exporter aide à vendre chez soi

Comment les chocs de demande subis par les entreprises françaises sur leurs ventes à l’étranger se répercutent-ils sur leurs ventes en France ? Cette Lettre présente les résultats d’une analyse empirique mettant en évidence une relation de complémentarité entre exportations et ventes domestiques. Une hausse de 10% des exportations engendre, la même année, un accroissement des ventes…

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/ 03/07/2015

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