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The Tide Turns? Trade Protectionism, and Slowing Global Growth. The 18th GTA Report

The G20’s principal task of reviving global economic growth has never been easy – it is harder now that world trade is contracting. World trade growth isn’t slowing down – the latest available monthly data compiled for this report suggests that it has been falling in volume and value terms through 2015. On average G20 exports have fallen 4.5% since world trade peaked in value in…

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/ 01/11/2015

Nobelpreis für Angus Deaton : ein findiger Vermesser der Ökonomie

Der Wirtschaftsforscher Angus Deaton hat die Entwicklungsökonomie geprägt. Dank seinen bahnbrechenden Beiträgen konnte dokumentiert werden, wie sich über die Zeit der Wohlstand in der Welt erhöht hat.

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Deutsch / 17/10/2015

Closing the gender gap in education: what is the state of gaps in labour force participation for women, wives and mothers?

The educational gender gap has closed or reversed in many countries. But what of gendered labour market inequalities? Using micro-level census data for some 40 countries, the authors examine the labour force participation gap between men and women, the “marriage gap” between married and single women’s participation, and the “motherhood gap” between mothers’ and nonmothers’…

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English / 12/10/2015

Does public sector control reduce variance in school quality?

Does the government control of school systems facilitate equality in school quality? Whether centralized or localized control produces more equality depends not only on what ‘could’ happen in principle, but also on what does happen in practice. We use the Programme for International Student Assessment (PISA) database to examine the association between school sector and the variance…

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English / 12/10/2015

Institutions, corporate governance and capital flows

Countries with weaker domestic investor protection hold less diversified international portfolios. An equilibrium business cycle model of North-South capital flow with corporate governance frictions between outside investors and corporate insiders explains this phenomenon through two channels. First,weak governance leads to concentrated ownership in the South because international…

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English / 05/10/2015

Attention misallocation, social welfare and policy implications

We examine how agents allocate attention between private and public signals to reduce the uncertainty about observation noises when coordination is an important concern. In this setting, the attention allocation may not be monotone in endowed attention capacity. Agents may decrease their attention on or even ignore the more accurate signal when capacity increases. As a result, social…

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English / 01/10/2015

Real options and risk dynamics

We examine the asset pricing implications of a neoclassical model of repeated investment and disinvestment. Prior research has emphasized a negative relation between productivity and equity risk that results from operating leverage when capital adjustment is costly. In general, however, expansion and contraction options affect risk in the opposite direction: they lower equity risk as…

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English / 01/10/2015

State capacity and military conflict

Powerful, centralized states controlling a large share of national income only begin to appear in Europe after 1500. We build a model that explains their emergence in response to the increasing importance of money for military success. When fiscal resources are not crucial for winning wars, the threat of external conflict stifles state-building. As finance becomes critical,…

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English / 01/10/2015

Explaining structural change towards and within the financial sector

This paper presents a 3x3 general equilibrium model of an OLG-economy with technological uncertainty, heterogeneous agents and quasi-homothetic preferences to analyze structural change between the real and the financial sector as well as within the financial sector. Besides the consumption and investment good two types of financial services are produced. The three factors of…

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English / 01/10/2015

Allais at the Horse Race: testing models of ambiguity aversion

Most models of ambiguity aversion satisfy Anscombe-Aumann’s Monotonicity axiom. This paper proposes a test of Monotonicity, the Allais Horse Race. It is an adaptation of the Allais paradox to a setting with both subjective and objective uncertainty. Viewed as a thought experiment, the Allais Horse Race allows for introspective assessment of Monotonicity. Imple- menting it as an…

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English / 01/10/2015

Katalonien und die «natürlichen» Grenzen

Regionale Spannungen werden die Instabilität in der EU weiter verschärfen. Der beste Rat für Brüssel dürfte sein, bloss sicherzustellen, dass diese Konflikte friedlich gelöst werden.

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Deutsch / 01/10/2015

Do People Seek to Maximize Their Subjective Well‐Being?

In a new survey we ask respondents, after a standard Subjective Well‐Being (SWB) question, if they can think of changes in their lives that would improve their SWB score. If the SWB score is just one argument among others in the respondents’ goals in life, they should easily find ways to improve it, at the expense of other dimensions they care about. Our results suggest that close to…

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English / 01/10/2015

Foreign bank ownership and household credit

Theoretical and empirical work on banking emphasizes the role of banks in overcoming information asymmetries and agency problems between borrowers and lenders. This paper investigates the importance of bank ownership in determining the sorts of customers that a bank serves, and consequently, the sorts of information problems a bank lender chooses to address. Using survey data for…

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English / 01/10/2015

Ein wenig genügt bereits

Investitionen werden vor allem ökonomisch untersucht. Die Ökonomie kann auch für jene Investitionen Hinweise geben, in denen es nicht um Geld, sondern um andere Ressourcen geht, die für Gesundheit und Wohlsein wichtig sind.

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Deutsch / 24/09/2015

State Liability and Critical Infastructure: A Comparative and Functional Analysis

Critical Infrastructure (CI) provision is characterized by privatization of CI providers, transnational risks and a changing role of the state. We describe two paradigmatic systems of state liability with a view to CI liability, namely Germany as a fault system and Switzerland as a strict liability system. Both are unsatisfactory and not well adapted to the modern realities and…

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Deutsch / 10/09/2015

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