Publications des institutions partenaires
Income and population growth
Do populations grow as countries become richer? In this study we estimate the effects on population growth of shocks to national income that are plausibly exogenous and unlikely to be driven by technological change. For a panel of over 139 countries spanning the period 1960–2007, we interact changes in international oil prices with countries’ average net-export shares of oil in GDP.…
Institution partenaire
English / 01/12/2015
Aufgaben, Kompetenzen und Verantwortung des VR-Sekretärs
Die Bedeutung des VR-Sekretärs wird unterschätzt. Dabei ist seine Aufgabe mit der Business Judgment Rule wichtiger und anspruchsvoller geworden. Vom VR-Sekretär wird nicht nur eine rasche und korrekte Protokollführung, sondern auch eine administrative Unterstützung des Verwaltungsrats verlangt. Übt er zusätzlich noch die Funktion eines Compliance Officer aus, hat er eine…
Institution partenaire
Deutsch / 01/12/2015
Characteristics of Tunisian business cycle and international synchronisation
In this paper, we have applied spectral and cross spectral analysis techniques as an alternative approach to characterize the Tunisian business cycle and measure the degree of its international synchronization. As a robustness check, we have applied these techniques to the industrial production (overall and manufacturing IPI) as well as two synthetic indexes: a dynamic factor and a…
Institution partenaire
Institut de hautes études internationales et du développement
/ 25/11/2015
The transmission mechanism of monetary policy in Vietnam: a VAR approach
This paper analyses monetary transmission mechanism in Vietnam by using a Vector Autoregression (VAR), focusing especially on how the economy dynamically responds money demand, interest rate, exchange rate, and asset price shocks. In this paper, we establish identification conditions to uncover the dynamic effects of monetary policy shocks. By using quarterly data over the period…
Institution partenaire
Institut de hautes études internationales et du développement
/ 25/11/2015
Rebooting the Eurozone: Step 1 - agreeing a crisis narrative
Institution partenaire
Institut de hautes études internationales et du développement
/ 20/11/2015
Institutional quality, cyclicality of macroeconomic policies and the Effects of macroeconomic shocks: evidence from transition economies
In this paper, we study the role of institutional quality in the cyclicality of macroeconomic policies of transition economies. Using annual data over 1996-2013, we find that the quality of institutions play a significant role in their ability to carry out counter-cyclical macroeconomic policy. This paper also analyzes the effects of monetary and fiscal shocks on output. Dividing the…
Institution partenaire
Institut de hautes études internationales et du développement
/ 18/11/2015
Current account determinants in Central Eastern European countries
This paper empirically investigates the determinants of current accounts for a sample of 11 Central and East European Countries outside the Euro area. To this end we rely on the estimation of a panel VAR model with fixed effects over the period Q1 2005 to Q42014. Consistent with existing literature, we show that domestic GDP, the fiscal deficit, and the real effective exchange rate…
Institution partenaire
Institut de hautes études internationales et du développement
/ 18/11/2015
The second wave of global liquidity: why are firms acting like financial intermediaries?
Recent work suggests that non-financial firms have acted like financial intermediaries particularly in emerging economies. We corroborate these findings but then ask why? Our results indicate evidence for carry-trade activities but focused in countries with higher levels of capital controls, particular controls on inflows. We find little evidence for such activities given other…
Institution partenaire
Institut de hautes études internationales et du développement
/ 18/11/2015
Survival of the fittest: corporate control and the cleansing effect of financial crises
How does the market for corporate control reallocate firm ownership in response to adverse aggregate financial shocks? To answer this question, we develop a tractable model of mergers and acquisitions (M&As) where firms facing different degrees of financial constraints acquire ownership of illiquid domestic firms. We show that acquisitions by financially constrained acquirers, on…
Institution partenaire
Institut de hautes études internationales et du développement
/ 18/11/2015
Riot rewards? study of BJP's electoral performance and Hindu muslim riots
Do incidents of ethnic polarization influence voter behavior? I address this question through the case study of India, the world’s largest functional democracy. Specifically, I test whether prior events of Hindu-Muslim riots electorally benefit Bharatiya Janta Party (BJP), a prominent Hindu nationalist party? The paper contributes to the literature by being the first to establish a…
Institution partenaire
Institut de hautes études internationales et du développement
/ 18/11/2015
Billions on the sidewalk: improving savings by reducing investment mistakes
This paper contributes the on-going debate on income inequality in advanced economies with a proposal aimed at reducing costly investment mistakes that are prevalent among middle-class households. The paper starts by describing how households should invest, compares it with what we know about how households do invest, and highlights discrepancies between the two (investment mistakes…
Institution partenaire
Institut de hautes études internationales et du développement
/ 18/11/2015
Is the monetary policy rate effective?: recent evidence from Ghana
We examine the effectiveness of monetary policy transmission mechanism in Ghana using several of statistical and econometric techniques for the period 2002M1 – 2014M12. We find monetary policy rate (MPR) to be quite effective in signaling the money market interest rates in both the short run and long run, as the effect is incomplete (that is, not one-to-one). In addition, a hierarchy…
Institution partenaire
Institut de hautes études internationales et du développement
/ 16/11/2015
Modelling and forecasting of Tunisian current account: aggregate versus disaggregate approach
While there is considerable literature attempting to model current account, there are not many studies to forecast current account balance. This study gives a comprehensive way to model and predict current account deficit (CAD) by evaluating the forecasting performance of direct and indirect approach. At the disaggregated level, I use two variants to model current account components…
Institution partenaire
Institut de hautes études internationales et du développement
/ 16/11/2015
Going beyond the Eurobarometer's road to salvation: A vignette study about the determinants of Citizens' Trust in the European Commission
Institution partenaire
English / 05/11/2015
Does competition justify inequality?
Are competitive mechanisms perceived as just sources of economic inequality? Perceptions of fairness violations can have severe economic consequences, as they may cause counterproductive behavior such as rulebook slowdowns or quality shading. To analyze fairness perceptions associated with competitive mechanisms, we run laboratory experiments where a single powerful buyer can trade…
Institution partenaire
English / 01/11/2015
On the equivalence of Bayesian and dominant strategy implementation: the case of non-linear utilities
We extend the equivalence between Bayesian and dominant strategy implementation established by Gershkov et al. (Econometrica, 2013) to environments with non-linear utilities satisfying the average single-crossing property and the convex-valued assumption. The new equivalence result produces novel implications to the literature on the principal-agent problem with allocative…
Institution partenaire
English / 01/11/2015
Pensionsreform ungelöst
Die Rendite der AHV sollte sich dem veränderten Produktionswachstum und der demografischen Entwicklung anpassen, die zweite Säule sollte sich strikt nach den Marktzinsen richten, schreibt Fabrizio Zilibotti.
Institution partenaire
English / 01/11/2015
Why trade matters after all
I show that accounting for cross-industry variation in trade elasticities greatly magnifies the estimated gains from trade. The main idea is as simple as it is general: while imports in the average industry do not matter too much, imports in some industries are critical to the functioning of the economy, so that a complete shutdown of international trade is very costly overall.
Institution partenaire
English / 01/11/2015
Firm and market response to saving constraints: evidence from the Kenyan dairy industry
This paper documents how saving constraints can spill over into other markets. When producers value saving devices, trustworthy buyers can offer them infrequent payments—a commitment tool—and purchase at a lower price. This affects the nature of competition in the output market. We present a model of this interlinked saving-output market for the case of the Kenyan dairy industry.…
Institution partenaire
English / 01/11/2015
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