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Matthias Gubler and Christoph Sax: The Balassa-Samuelson Effect Reversed: New Evidence from OECD Countries

This paper explores the robustness of the Balassa-Samuelson (BS) hypothesis. We analyze an OECD country panel from 1970 to 2008 and compare three data sets on sectoral productivity, including newly constructed data on total factor productivity. Overall, our within- and between-dimension estimation results do not support the BS hypothesis. Over the last two decades, we find a robust…

Institution partenaire

Banque nationale suisse

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English / 07/02/2017

Alain Galli, Christian Hepenstrick and Rolf Scheufele: Mixed-frequency models for tracking short-term economic developments in Switzerland

We compare several methods for monitoring short-term economic developments in Switzerland. Based on a large mixed-frequency data set, the following approaches are presented and discussed: factor-based information combination approaches (including factor model versions based on the Kalman filter/smoother, a principal component based version and the three-pass regression filter), a…

Institution partenaire

Banque nationale suisse

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English / 07/02/2017

Matthias Gubler and Christoph Sax: The Balassa-Samuelson Effect Reversed: New Evidence from OECD Countries

This paper explores the robustness of the Balassa-Samuelson (BS) hypothesis. We analyze an OECD country panel from 1970 to 2008 and compare three data sets on sectoral productivity, including newly constructed data on total factor productivity. Overall, our within- and between-dimension estimation results do not support the BS hypothesis. Over the last two decades, we find a robust…

Institution partenaire

Banque nationale suisse

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English / 07/02/2017

Culture and Financial Literacy

We study the effect of culture on financial literacy by comparing secondary-school students along the German-French language border within Switzerland. We find that students in the Frenchspeaking
area have a lower level of financial literacy than students in the German-speaking area. The difference in financial literacy across the language groups is mainly observed for native…

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English / 03/02/2017

Severin Bernhard and Till Ebner: Cross-border Spillover Effects of Unconventional Monetary Policies on Swiss Asset Prices

Unconventional monetary policies (UMPs) by the Federal Reserve, the European Central Bank, the Bank of England and the Bank of Japan exert important spillover effects on asset prices in Switzerland if market anticipation of UMP announcements is properly accounted for. Using a broad event set and a long-term bond futures-based measure as a proxy for market anticipation of the…

Institution partenaire

Banque nationale suisse

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English / 01/02/2017

Severin Bernhard and Till Ebner: Cross-border Spillover Effects of Unconventional Monetary Policies on Swiss Asset Prices

Unconventional monetary policies (UMPs) by the Federal Reserve, the European Central Bank, the Bank of England and the Bank of Japan exert important spillover effects on asset prices in Switzerland if market anticipation of UMP announcements is properly accounted for. Using a broad event set and a long-term bond futures-based measure as a proxy for market anticipation of the…

Institution partenaire

Banque nationale suisse

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English / 01/02/2017

Network formation with local complements and global substitutes: the case of R&D networks

In this paper we introduce a stochastic network formation model where agents choose both actions and links. Neighbors in the network benefit from each other’s action levels through local complementarities and there exists a global interaction effect reflecting a strategic substitutability in actions. The tractability of the model allows us to provide a complete equilibrium…

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English / 01/02/2017

The taxation of superstars

How are optimal taxes affected by superstar phenomena? To answer this question, we extend the Mirrlees model to incorporate an assignment problem in the labor market that generates superstar effects. Perhaps surprisingly, rather than providing a rationale for higher taxes, we show that superstar effects provide a force for lower marginal taxes conditional on the observed distribution…

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English / 01/02/2017

Schumpeterian Banks: Credit Reallocation and Capital Requirements

Capital reallocation from unprofitable to profitable firms is a key source of productivity gain in an innovative economy. We present a model of credit reallocation and focus on the role of banks: Weakly capitalized banks hesitate to write off non-performing loans to avoid a violation of regulatory requirements or even insolvency. Such behavior blocks credit to expanding industries…

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English / 01/02/2017

Has Crude Oil Become a Financial Asset? Evidence from Ten Years of Financialization

The financialization of crude oil markets over the last decade has changed the behavior of oil prices in fundamental ways. In this paper, we uncover the gradual transformation of crude oil from a physical to a financial asset. Although economic demand and supply factors continue to play an important role, recent indicators associated with financialization have emerged since 2008. We…

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English / 01/02/2017

Competition in the Credit Rating Industry: Benefits for Investors and Issuers

We empirically investigate the benefits of multiple ratings not only at issuance of debt instruments but also during the subsequent monitoring phase. Using a record of monthly credit rating migration data on all U.S. residential mortgage-backed securities rated by Standard & Poor's, Moody's, and Fitch between 1985 and 2012 (154'600 tranches), our results provide em…

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English / 01/02/2017

The lasting legacy of seasonal influenza: in-utero exposure and labor market outcomes

Pregnancy conditions have been shown to matter for later economic success, but many threats to fetal development that have been identified are difficult to prevent. In this paper I study seasonal influenza, a preventable illness that comes around every year and causes strong inflammatory responses in pregnant women. Using administrative data from Denmark, I identify the effects of…

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English / 01/02/2017

Robotik am Arbeitsplatz: Robo-Kollegen und Robo-Bosse

Der Aufmarsch von Robotik, Künstlicher Intelligenz und Automatisierung
am Arbeitsplatz ist unaufhaltsam. Hersteller wie Nutzer moderner
Robotik-Systeme müssen rechtliche Probleme voraussehen, während
sich die Arbeit und der Arbeitsplatz kontinuierlich verändern.
Der Aufsatz behandelt drei spezifische Fragestellungen, welche sich stellen, wenn Roboter am…

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Deutsch / 01/02/2017

Roboterrecht - Eine Einleitung

Roboter spielen eine immer grössere wirtschaftliche und technologische Rolle. Das Recht hinkt der technologischen Entwicklung oft hinterher. Obwohl international viel juristische Forschung zu Robotern betrieben wird, gibt es bis anhin nur wenige juristische Abhandlungen zum Roboterrecht aus schweizerischer Sicht. Dies wollten wir mit der zweitägigen Tagung "Roboterrecht"…

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Deutsch / 01/02/2017

Roboterrecht.

Sonderheft zur Tagung Roboterrecht vom 28. und 29. Oktober 2016 in St.Gallen

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Deutsch / 01/02/2017

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