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From dualism to complementarity: a systemic concept for the research process

In this paper, dualistic concepts are identified as limitations to scientific progress. A proposal is made for bridging a set of three gaps between polar opposites in order to pave the way towards a more holistic, systemic research practice. The dualistic concepts addressed are explanation vs. understanding, explorations vs. hypothesis testing, and discovery vs. design. If one treats…

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English / 01/06/2007

Training Soft Skills in Organizations - Constructions of Individual Agency as Barriers to Change?

The purpose of this paper is to illustrate, how applying individualistic discourses to social relations in organizations rather hinders than facilitates change in organizations. The initial idea was to find out how social relations are constructed in organizations, thus de-focussing from the increasing popularity of concepts such as 'soft skills' or 'social competences…

English / 10/05/2007

Avoiding "Star Wars" - Celebrity creation as media strategy

Media companies generally enjoy increasing profits if more customers watch a program. The viewer drawing capability of stars serves as a prominent instrument to increase the audience. The literature distinguishes between two different types of stars: highly talented and therefore ‘self-made’ superstars, and famous but ‘manufactured’ and thus rather trivial celebrities. Whereas ‘self-…

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English / 01/05/2007

Computational aspects of prospect theory with asset pricing applications

We develop an algorithm to compute asset allocations for Kahneman and Tversky’s (Econometrica, 47(2), 263–291, 1979) prospect theory. An application to benchmark data as in Fama and French (Journal of Financial Economics, 47(2), 427–465, 1992) shows that the equity premium puzzle is resolved for parameter values similar to those found in the laboratory experiments of Kahneman and…

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English / 01/05/2007

Strategic asset allocation and market timing: a reinforcement learning approach

We apply the recurrent reinforcement learning method of Moody, Wu, Liao, and Saffell (1998) in the context of the strategic asset allocation computed for sample data from US, UK, Germany, and Japan. It is found that the optimal asset allocation deviates substantially from the fixed-mix rule. The investor actively times the market and he is able to outperform it consistently over the…

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English / 01/05/2007

Overprotected Politicians

This paper argues that politicians are overprotected. The costs of politicalnassassination differ systematically depending on whether a private or a public point of view is taken. A politician attributes a very high (if not infinite) cost to his or her survival. The social cost of political assassination is much smaller as politicians are replaceable. Conversely, the private cost of…

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English / 01/05/2007

Why Kill Politicians? A Rational Choice Analysis of Political Assassinations

In the course of history a large number of politicians has been assassinated. A rationalnchoice analysis is used to distinguish the expected marginal benefits of killing, and the marginal cost of attacking a politician. The comparative analysis of various equilibria helps us to gain insights into specific historical events.nThe analysis suggests that – in addition to well-known…

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English / 01/05/2007

I'm not fat, just too short for my weight - Family Child Care and Obesity in Germany

Obesity is increasing worldwide for both adults and children. Genetic disposition is responsible for some variation in body weight but cannot explain the dramatic increase in the last two decades. The increase must be due to structural and behavioral changes. One such behavioral change is the increase in working females in the last decades. The absence from the mother reduces…

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English / 01/05/2007

Liberalization of the Swiss Letter Market and the Viability of Universal Service Obligations

We discuss the ongoing liberalization process in the market for addressed letter mail in Switzerland. The core of the paper is an assessment of the liberalization's impact on the financial viability of various universal service obligations with and without access to the incumbent's downstream delivery network for customers and competitors. We propose a simple calibrated…

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English / 01/05/2007

Bias-adjusted estimation in the ARX(1) model

A new point estimator for the AR(1) coefficient in the linear regression model with arbitrary exogenous regressors and stationary AR(1) disturbances is developed. Its construction parallels that of the median--unbiased estimator, but uses the mode as a measure of central tendency. The mean--adjusted estimator is also considered, and saddlepoint approximations are used to lower the…

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English / 01/04/2007

The Emergence of Information Sharing in Credit Markets

We examine how asymmetric information and competition in the credit market affect voluntary information sharing between lenders. We study an experimental credit market in which information sharing can help lenders to distinguish goodnborrowers from bad ones, because borrowers may exogenously switch locations.nLenders, however, are also engaged in spatial competition, and lose market…

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English / 01/04/2007

Discrimination and In-group Favoritism in a Citywide Trust Experiment

This paper provides field experimental evidence on the prevalence and determinants ofndiscrimination and in-group favoritism in trust decisions. We observe choices of aboutn1,000 inhabitants of the city of Zurich who take part in a sequential trust game, in whichnfirst movers can condition their investments on the residential districts of second movers.nOur main results can be…

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English / 01/04/2007

Models of Stochastic Choice and Decision Theories: Why Both are Important for Analyzing Decisions

Economic research offers two traditional ways of analyzing decision making under risk. One option is to compare the goodness of fit of different decision theories using the samenmodel of stochastic choice. An alternative way is to vary models of stochastic choicencombining them with only one or two decision theories. This paper proposes to look at the bigger picture by comparing…

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English / 01/04/2007

Does Globalization Create Superstars?

To examine the impact of globalization on managerial compensation, we consider a matching model where a number of firms compete both in the product market and in the managerial market. We show that globalization, i.e. the simultaneous integration of product markets and managerial pools, leads to an increase in the heterogeneity of managerial salaries. Typically, while the most able…

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English / 01/04/2007

What is the Value Added by Caseworkers?

We investigate the allocation of unemployed individuals to different subprograms within Swiss active labour market policy by the caseworkers at local employment offices in Switzerland in 1998. We are particularly interested in whether the caseworkers allocate the unemployed to services in ways that will maximize the program-induced changes in their employment probabilities. Our…

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English / 01/04/2007

Dynamic Financial Analysis: Classification, Conception, and Implementation

Dynamic financial analysis (DFA) models an insurance company's cash flow in order to forecast assets, liabilities, and ruin probabilities, as well as full balance sheets for different scenarios. In the last years DFA has become an important tool for the analysis of an insurance company's financial situation. The following article considers three aspects: First, we want to…

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English / 31/03/2007

The Solvency II Process: Overview and Critical Analysis

As early as the 1970s, European Union (EU) member countries implemented rules to coordinate insurance markets and regulation. However, with the more recent movement toward a general single EU market, financial services regulation has taken on new meaning and priority. Solvency I regulations went into effect for member nations by January 2004. The creation of risk-based capital…

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English / 31/03/2007

Prior Performance and Risk-Taking of Mutual Fund Managers: A Dynamic Bayesian Network Approach

We analyze the behavior of mutual fund managers with a special focus on the impact of prior performance. In contrast to previous studies, we do not focus solely on volatility as a risk measure, but also consider alternative definitions of risk and style. Using a dynamic Bayesian network, we are able to capture non-linear effects and to assign exact probabilities to the mutual fund…

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English / 28/03/2007

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