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Assessing multivariate predictors of financial market movements: A latent factor framework for ordinal data

Much of the trading activity in Equity markets is directed to brokerage houses. In exchange they provide so-called "soft dollars" which basically are amounts spent in "research" for identifying profitable trading opportunities. Soft dollars represent about USD 1 out of every USD 10 paid in commissions. Obviously they are costly, and it is interesting for an…

Institution partenaire

Université de Genève

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English / 01/01/2008

DEVA+ (Dynamic Expectation Variance Analysis), Product Description

The existence of changing correlation structures needs to be taken into account when modelling an asset allocation situation. DEVA + (Dynamic Expectation Variance Analysis) is a multiperiod stochastic optimization approach to identify the optimal tactic and strategic asset allocation. The identified allocation strategies are efficient in a multiperiod context, i.e…

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English / 01/01/2008

When Investors Enjoy Less Policy Risk: Divided Government, Economic Policy Change, and Stock Market Volatility in Germany, 1970-2005

How does divided government affect the probability of economic policy change, and thus policy risk on financial markets? In contrast to the standard balancing model we argue that divided government, i.e., partisan conflict between the executive and the legislative branches, negatively affects the possibility of economic policy change. Using a simple spatial model we demonstrate that…

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English / 01/01/2008

The Performance of Funds of Hedge Funds: Do Experience and Size Matter?

This paper is the first to use quantile regression to analyze the impact of experience and size of funds of hedge funds (FHFs) on performance. In comparison to OLS regression, quantile regression provides a more detailed picture of the influence of size and experience on FHF return behaviour. Hence, it allows us to study the relevance of these factors for various return and risk…

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English / 01/01/2008

Matching Estimation of Dynamic Treatment Models : Some Practical Issues

Lechner and Miquel (2001) approached the causal analysis of sequences of interventions from a potential outcome perspective based on selection on observable type of assumptions (sequential conditional independence assumptions). Lechner (2004) proposed matching estimators for this framework. However, many practical issues that might have substantial consequences for interpretation of…

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English / 01/01/2008

Parametric Binary Choice Models

This paper discusses the estimation of binary choice panel data models. We begin with different versions of the static random effects model when the explanatory variables are strictly exogenous. Depending on the autocorrelation structure of the errors, different
estimators are available and we detail their attractiveness in each situation by trading-off their efficiency and…

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English / 01/01/2008

Effects of the onset of an adverse health condition on the retirement decision of European workers

This paper estimates the effect of experiencing the onset of an adverse health condition on the retirement decision of European workers. Conditional on institutional characteristics (country and individual dependent) and a selection of socioeconomic and demographic characteristics of the individual, we are able to net out the effect of health conditions that occur before the decision…

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English / 01/01/2008

A Life-cycle model of human capital formation and educational choices in developing economies

In impoverished societies a shock to the household's resources often results in a decision to reduce the contemporaneous investment on children's education. Although such shocks may be transitory in nature they could lead to permanent long run effects in terms of reduced human capital for future generations thus further enhancing a state of deprivation. This paper models…

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English / 01/01/2008

Impact of Fund Size and Fund Flows on Hedge Fund Performance

Capacity issues based on large inflows in well-performing hedge funds are among the most frequently discussed concerns in the hedge fund industry. In this article the impact of asset flows and fund sizes on hedge fund and CTA performance is investigated. The findings confirm the legitimacy of investor concerns regarding capacity issues in the hedge fund industry. The results of the…

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English / 01/01/2008

Risk Factors for the Swiss Stock Market

The four risk factors controlling for the market, size, value, and momentum effect have become a state-of-the-art framework for various applications in financial markets research. However, previous work shows that these broadly recognized risk factors are country-specific. For these reasons, this paper develops and analyses these factors for the Swiss stock market from January 1990…

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English / 01/01/2008

Investment Performance of Swiss Pension Funds and Investment Foundations

We investigate the performance of domestic and international bond and equity portfolios of Swiss pension funds and investment foundations over the period of 1996 to 2006. Our sample consists of 73 pension funds and 13 investment foundations with total assets of more than CHF 200 billion. We find some indications for superior skills of security selection and timing by pension funds in…

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English / 01/01/2008

Attitudes Toward Older Workers and Human Resource Practices

This study investigated attitudes towards older employees, perceived age discrimination, and HR practices (personnel development and reward) in 240 employees. Attitudes toward older employees were largely positive, thus supporting the notion that attitudes toward older employees are becoming increasingly positive. Older employees' attitudes towards older employees were more…

English / 01/01/2008

Fit for Future Demands? : Impact, development and outlook of China's logistics infrastructure

Shipping goods and raw materials in supply chains within the required time and with the requisite quality from suppliers to customers is a basic necessity for successful sourcing and procurement. China has become a "Global Workshop" of huge scope and needs to provide well-developed infrastructure and logistics centres which enable the successful management of supply chain…

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English / 01/01/2008

Limited = Limiting Reading of Social Constructionism: A Reply to Carl Ratner's "Epistemological, Social, and Political Conundrums in Social Constructionism"

RATNER's "Epistemological, Social, and Political Conundrums in Social Constructionism" provides ample illustration of how a grossly negligent, read both limited and limiting, exegesis of social constructionsim has the demonstrable effect of installing the impression of the subject matter forming a homogeneous unity and an utmost negative one at that. The present…

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English / 01/01/2008

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