Publications des institutions partenaires

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Network Valuation in Financial Systems

We introduce a network valuation model (hereafter NEVA) for the ex-ante valuation of claims among financial institutions connected in a network of liabilities. Similar to previous work, the new framework allows to endogenously determine the recovery rate on all claims upon the default of some institutions. In addition, it also allows to account for ex-ante uncertainty on the asset…

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English / 14/06/2016

When corporatism leads to corporate governance failure : the case of Swiss watch industry

Corporatism is often seen as the way Swiss stakeholders in business and politics handle industrial challenges in a reasonable and flexible way. The following publication argues, however, that the emergence of corporatist structures in the Swiss watch industry has often encouraged rent-seeking and collusion at the expense of the creation of new markets through innovation. This legacy…

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English / 09/06/2016

Indexfonds und Monopolbildung

Die von den grössten amerikanischen Indexfonds gesammelten Mittel sind enorm, ihr Einfluss dementsprechend. Es entsteht die Befürchtung, dass der Wettbewerb in manchen Sektoren darunter leidet.

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Deutsch / 04/06/2016

Risky utilities

We develop a theory of "risky utilities", i.e., private firms that manage an infrastructure for public service and that may be tempted to engage in excessively risky activities, such as reducing maintenance expenditures (at the risk of provoking a breakdown of the system) or in speculation (at the risk of incurring massive losses it cannot bear). These risky utilities…

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English / 01/06/2016

Agricultural productivity and structural transformation : evidence from Brazil

We study the effects of the adoption of new agricultural technologies on structural transformation. To guide empirical work, we present a simple model where the effect of agricultural productivity on industrial development depends on the factor bias of technical change. We test the predictions of the model by studying the introduction of genetically engineered soybean seeds in Brazil…

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English / 01/06/2016

Doubt in the insula: risk processing in obsessive-compulsive disorder

Extensive cleaning or checking of patients with obsessive-compulsive disorder (OCD) are often interpreted as strategies to avoid harm and as an expression of the widespread belief that OCD patients are more risk-averse. However, despite its clinical significance, the neural basis of risk attitude in OCD is unknown. Here, we investigated neural activity during risk processing using…

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English / 01/06/2016

Learning what to see in a changing world

Visual perception is strongly shaped by expectations, but it is poorly understood how such perceptual expectations are learned in our dynamic sensory environment. Here, we applied a Bayesian framework to investigate whether perceptual expectations are continuously updated from different aspects of ongoing experience. In two experiments, human observers performed an associative…

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English / 31/05/2016

«Zwei Millionen US-Arbeitsplätze sind abgebaut worden» : Wahlkampf und Wirtschaft in den USA

Billige Importe aus China haben in den USA zu einem gewaltigen Verlust an Jobs in der Industrie geführt, sagt der Zürcher Ökonom David Dorn. Die Betroffenen wählten häufig weit rechts oder weit links.

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Deutsch / 22/05/2016

Do we measure overconfidence? A closer look at the interval production task

The most common test for overconfidence in the form of miscalibration—the Interval Production task (IP)—is based on the assumption that people internalize requested confidence levels. We demonstrate experimentally that decision makers’ perceived confidence is, however, unaffected by variations in the requested confidence level. In addition, we find large heterogeneity in perceived…

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English / 20/05/2016

The Impact of Merger Legislation on Bank Mergers

We find that stricter merger control legislation increases abnormal announcement returns of targets in bank mergers by 7 percentage points. Analyzing potential explanations for this result, we document an increase in the pre-merger profitability of targets, a decrease in the size of acquirers and a decreasing share of transactions in which banks are acquired by other banks. Other…

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English / 18/05/2016

INTERVIEW Was Menschen für Geld tun «Die Arbeit geht uns nicht aus»

Der technische Fortschritt vernichtet Arbeitsplätze und schafft neue. Über die Entwicklung der Arbeitswelt sprachen Roger Nickl und Thomas Gull mit der Historikerin Brigitta Bernet und dem Ökonomen David Dorn.

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Deutsch / 09/05/2016

"Die Arbeit geht uns nicht aus"

Der technische Fortschritt vernichtet Arbeitsplätze und schafft neue. Über die Entwicklung der Arbeitswelt sprachen Roger Nickl und Thomas Gull mit der Historikerin Brigitta Bernet und dem Ökonomen David Dorn.

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Deutsch / 09/05/2016

An externality-robust auction: Theory and experimental evidence

Behavioral robustness is essential in mechanism design. Existing papers focus on robustness as captured by dominant strategies. This paper studies the novel concept of externality-robustness, which addresses players' motives to affect other players' monetary payoffs. One example is externalities due to spite, which has been used to explain overbidding in second-price…

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English / 01/05/2016

Ventral striatal hypoactivation is associated with apathy but not diminished expression in patients with schizophrenia

BACKGROUND: Negative symptoms of schizophrenia can be grouped in 2 dimensions: apathy and diminished expression. Increasing evidence suggests that negative symptoms are associated with altered neural activity of subcortical and cortical regions in the brain reward system. However, the neurobiological basis of the distinct symptom dimensions within negative symptoms is still poorly…

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English / 01/05/2016

Inequality in mortality decreased among the young while increasing for older adults, 1990–2010

Many recent studies point to increasing inequality in mortality in the United States over the past 20 years. These studies often use mortality rates in middle and old age. We used poverty level rankings of groups of U.S. counties as a basis for analyzing inequality in mortality for all age groups in 1990, 2000, and 2010. Consistent with previous studies, we found increasing…

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English / 01/05/2016

Ungleichheit und Wachstum

Zunehmende Ungleichheit gefährdet künftiges Wachstum, weil sie den gesellschaftlichen Zusammenhalt 
schwächt und Unterstützung für schädliche politische Strömungen schafft.

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Deutsch / 27/04/2016

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