Thomas Lustenberger and Enzo Rossi: Does Central Bank Transparency and Communication Affect Financial and Macroeconomic Forecasts?

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Description

In a large sample of countries across different geographic regions and over a long period of time, we find limited country- and variable-specific effects of central bank transparency on forecast accuracy and their dispersion among a large set of professional forecasts of financial and macroeconomic variables. More communication even increases forecast errors and dispersion.

Institution partenaire

Langue

English

Date

2018

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